The Kyoto Carbon-Emission Targets Are Too Short – It Endangers Man Senselessly




Given the magnitude of temperature change we are fairly certain we caused in the last century alone about 1/9th of an ice age’s worth, according to NASA

& Looking at these Kyoto Protocol reduction targets:

Percentage changes in emissions for Annex I Parties with Kyoto targets

Country/region

Kyoto
target
2008-2012

Kyoto
target
2013-2020


GHG
emissions
1990-2008
including
LULUCF

GHG
emissions
1990-2008
excluding
LULUCF

CO2
emissions
from fuel
combustion
only
1990-2009

North America

+20.4

Canada

-6

+33.6

+24.1

+20.4

Europe

-4.9

European Union

-8

-20

Austria

-8 (-13)

-20

+6.6

+10.8

+12.2

Belgium

-8 (-7.5)

-20

-6.2

-7.1

-6.7

Denmark

-8 (-21)

-20

-6.8

-6.8

-7.2

Finland

-8 (0)

-20

-35.9

-0.2

+1.1

France

-8 (0)

-20

-12.7

-5.9

+0.6

Germany

-8 (-21)

-20

-17.6

-21.4

-21.1

Greece

-8 (+25)

-20

+22.9

+23.1

+28.6

Iceland

+10

-20

+19.2

+42.9

+6.2

Ireland

-8 (+13)

-20

+19.9

+23.2

+32.4

Italy

-8 (-6.5)

-20

+0.4

+4.7

-2.0

Luxembourg

-8 (-28)

-20

-9.2

-4.8

-4.4

Netherlands

-8 (-6)

-20

-2.4

-2.4

+13.0

Norway

+1

-16

-32.8

+9.4

+31.9

Portugal

-8 (+27)

-20

+18.3

+32.2

+35.3

Spain

-8 (+15)

-20

+44.0

+42.5

+37.7

Sweden

-8 (+4)

-20

+19.8

-11.3

-20.9

Switzerland

-8

-15.8

+6.8

+0.4

+2.5

United Kingdom

-8 (-12.5)

-19.0

-18.5

-15.2

Asia Oceania

+12.7

Australia

+8

-0.5

+33.1

+31.4

+51.8

Japan

-6

-0.2

+1.0

+2.7

New Zealand

0

+62.4

+22.7

+34.3

Economies in
Transition

-36.2

Bulgaria

-8

-20

-45.5

-42.8

-43.7

Croatia

-5

-20

-13.7

-0.9

-8.4

Czech Republic

-8

-20

-28.7

-27.5

-29.2

Estonia

-8

-20

-69.9

-50.9

-59.4

Hungary

-8

-20

-38.1

-36.2

-27.8

Latvia

-8

-20

-307.9

-55.6

-63.8

Lithuania

-8

-20

-69.1

-51.8

-62.6

Poland

-6

-20

-34.4

-29.6

-16.2

Romania

-8

-20

-53.5

-45.9

-53.1

Russian
Federation

0

-52.8

-32.8

-29.7

Slovak
Republic

-8

-20

-34.4

-33.7

-41.5

Slovenia

-8

-20

+5.2

+5.2

+21.2

Ukraine

0

-24

-52.2

-53.9

-62.7

I am troubled to see we are almost across-the-board reducing carbon emissions 20% compared to the 1990 levels of greenhouse gases.

I used The IPCC’s & Carbon Brief’s numbers, & the Kyoto Protocol targets in the table above, & crunching these numbers, I found that even meeting the Kyoto protocol targets, we would have just under 12 years of emissions left, before we lost a favorable chance at keeping heating under 1.5 degrees Celsius.

We’d have 35 years of emissions left until we lost a favorable chance at holding global warming to under 2 degrees C – again: even meeting the Kyoto targets – which many say is the top number we would want to endure, due to the reckoned afflictions arising from climate change.

All this points at moving our targets DRASTICALLY further, as soon as possible –

Use incentives like subsidies & fines;

Use facts & argument to put the tradewinds of The World at our back – but get it done –

How do you want to answer our kids, & our future, when they look back into the past at us, into history at us: did we rise up, & throw everything we had a threat to The Human Race?

Let’s make that an honest Yes.


Halt As Immediately As Possible.


Thank You.
– Joe